While the US have just wrapped up an election that saw heated competitions in both the Democratic and Republican party primaries, ANC voters and the rest of South Africa will most likely have to prepare themselves for a very heated National Conference election season.
In just over a year’s time, the ANC will hold their National Conference that will elect their party’s president as well as the party’s presidential nominee and NEC members.
While COSATU has endorsed Ramaphosa, the country’s deputy president is still haunted by the events of August 2012 at Marikana.
The ANC in Kwa-Zulu Natal want to use the conference to unite the party after much division during Zuma’s 2nd term. At this moment, the NEC are debating whether or not they will recall the president before his tenure is up.
The ANC simply won’t survive a divided party once December 2017 rolls around. COSATU knows this. And the ANC in Kwa-Zulu Natal know this.
But the party has a rebellious wing – The Women’s League.
While many factions are starting to unite behind Ramaphosa, the ANCWL have said that they will ensure the next ANC president will be a woman. Possible choices include Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma and speaker of the House, Baleka Mbete.
Could the ANC be heading towards another December 2007? But this time, the stakes will be far higher. If it’s Ramaphosa v. Dlamini-Zuma/Mbete, the ANC are heading into a very heated and contested internal electoral season.